It appears the House and Senate have reached agreement to extend the payroll tax holiday.  Along with the agreement to extend the two percent tax cut, Congress seems to have partisan agreement on extending unemployment benefits.

The payroll tax holiday, as it is called, is set to expire at the end of this month – February 2012.  The payroll tax holiday saves taxpayers approximately $80 a month.  Though an extra eighty dollars a month doesn’t seem like much, it is significant for many lower and middle-class families.

What will it cost to extend the payroll tax holiday and unemployment benefits?  Experts estimate that extending unemployment benefits alone will cost around $100 billion.

This short term relief will have long term effects.  We will have to borrow instead of generating tax revenue. This results in less capital to put toward job creation initiatives. It’s a double-edged sword. Short term fiscal relief for the middle-class and unemployed, but long term payback by all taxpayers for the effort.

New Jersey Governor Chris Christie’s proposal to cut  income taxes by ten percent will benefit the rich and not the middle class.

Christie’s plan would benefit taxpayers who pay a significantly higher income tax rate under the state’s current tax system.  But the plan doesn’t help middle-class who are struggling more with the property tax rate.

“We all want to cut taxes, but we want to cut the right taxes in ways that help those most in need and that provides the most benefit to the economy,” said Senator Paul Sarlo (D-Bergen), chairman of the Senate Budget and Appropriations Committee, which conducted the first of many expected hearings Monday on the tax cut proposal.

Republicans argue that the Democrats are rebuking the proposal too quickly.

“Democrats cannot have a knee-jerk reaction,” State Sen. Kevin O’Toole (R-Essex) said. “History shows that it will create more income tax revenue, attract jobs and more opportunities.”

O’Toole noted that when former Gov. Christine Todd Whitman, also a Republican, cut income taxes in the 1990s, overall income tax revenue increased as the economy expanded, incomes rose and jobs were created.

Under the proposal, a family earning $50,000 a year would save $80.50, and those making $100,000 would save $275, according to David Rosen, budget and finance officer with OLS. Families who make $1 million would save $7,265, Rosen said.

The Office of Legislative Services also did an analysis of the taxes paid in 2004 and found that NJ taxpayers who made less than $200,000 paid a greater share of their income toward property taxes than income taxes.  For example, a family that makes $80,000 paid about 6 percent of its gross income for property taxes and about 1.6 for income taxes.

Based on the analysis, it seems unlikely that Cristie’s income tax cut proposal will win approval. Expect the Democrats to offer a counter proposal that would emphasize property tax cuts for the middle class.

Yes, its true that the Obama tax cuts will reduce income tax rates and Alternative Minimum Tax (AMT). It will also provide tax relief by reducing employee-paid payroll taxes. It’s called the Payroll Tax Holiday.

The Payroll Tax Holiday provides tax relief by reducing the amount of Social Security tax employees pay on wages earned and self-employed individuals pay on all of their self-employment income (up to $106,800) by 2%. Under current law, employees pay a 6.2 percent tax and the self-employed 12.4 percent.

This tax holiday is only temporary however; it provides tax relief for one year. This means that during 2011, employees will pay only 4.2% on wages and self-employed individuals will pay only 10.4% on income in Social Security tax.

So, everyone should be happy, right? Not so fast!

Progressive advocates and many Democrats are concerned that the payroll tax cut will pose a threat to Social Security. Not because they don’t want workers to have extra cash in their pocket, but because they worry the temporary payroll tax rate will become the norm and leave Social Security competing with other programs for funding – and threatening Social Security benefits.

However, several top Republicans maintain they’re not interested in extending the payroll tax cut. Their “gut feeling” is the tax will be allowed to expire as planned.

Although the tax cut is only 2%, it represents a significant tax reduction of 32 percent. For instance, a worker currently earning $100,000 will pay $6,200 in payroll taxes in 2010, and $4,200 in 2011.

Good, tax relief for the working man, right? Nevertheless, consider…

The Congressional Budget Office estimates the cut will reduce federal revenues by $112 billion over the next two years. Because the tax package is not offset by changes elsewhere in the budget, the government will have to borrow to fill that hole in the Social Security trust fund.

Not so good, no relief for our national debt.

Sources: democrats.senate.gov, thehill.com, democraticunderground.com